Hello, YieldAlley readers! In this issue:

  • Animal Health Monopoly Offering Growing Yield While Trading at Decade-Low Valuation

  • U.S. Stocks Rally to Start Year as Labor Market Softens

  • United Mile Play Promo

  • U.S. States by Number of Households Without Income

  • And more!

NEWS

Standout Stories

📈 2026 Guide to the Markets (JP Morgan)

⚡️ The power play behind Hyperion, Mark Zuckerberg’s colossal data center being built in rural Louisiana (Sherwood)

📚 The 10 books financial advisors loved in 2025 (Financial Planning)

🛒 Why tariffs have hit Americans’ jobs harder than their shopping carts (CNN)

🏝️ Should It Be Easier to Buy Annuities in Retirement Plans? Readers Had Doubts (WSJ)

MARKET THOUGHTS

U.S. Stocks Rally to Start Year as Labor Market Softens

  • ECONOMY

    • U.S. employers added 50,000 jobs in December, falling short of expectations, while October and November payrolls were revised down by a combined 76,000, according to the Labor Department. The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.4% from a revised 4.5% in the prior month. Job openings dropped to 7.1 million in November, the lowest level since September 2024, while hires declined to 5.1 million from 5.4 million in October. Private payroll processor ADP reported 41,000 jobs added in December, rebounding from the prior month's net loss but missing estimates of 47,000. Manufacturing activity contracted for the 10th consecutive month as the ISM Manufacturing PMI fell 0.3 points to 47.9, with employment remaining in contraction for the 11th straight month. The services sector showed resilience, with the ISM Services PMI expanding for the 10th month in a row and reaching the highest reading of the year on gains in new orders and business activity.

  • STOCKS

    • Equities advanced in the first full trading week of the year as investors largely looked past mounting geopolitical tensions, pushing most major indexes to all-time highs. Small-cap and value shares outpaced the large-cap growth stocks that have led returns in recent years, while an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 outperformed its market cap-weighted counterpart. The Russell 2000 led the way with a 4.62% gain, followed by the S&P MidCap 400 (+4.68%), while the S&P 500 gained 1.57%. Policy announcements from President Trump drove notable sector moves: aerospace and defense stocks initially fell on comments restricting dividends and buybacks, then rallied after proposals for increased military spending. Homebuilders rebounded after Trump directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase $200 billion of mortgage bonds to help drive down lending rates, tightening credit spreads in the agency mortgage-backed security sector.

  • FIXED INCOME

    • U.S. Treasuries posted modest gains heading into Friday, with long-term yields decreasing slightly and short-term yields inching higher. Treasuries rallied early in the week on weaker-than-expected economic data, though follow-through was limited and trading activity remained muted. Municipal bonds outperformed Treasuries, supported by strong reinvestment demand and limited new supply. Investment-grade corporate bonds generated positive returns amid heavy issuance that was met with solid demand. High yield bonds strengthened as trading activity picked up following the holiday lull, with investors focusing on new bond offerings and company-specific developments.

INCOME BUILDING TIP

Zoetis (ZTS): A Wide-Moat Animal Health Leader Now Yielding 1.6% Yield After 25% Drawdown

Current Price: ~$127 | Morningstar Fair Value: $171 | Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ | Moat: Wide

Zoetis, the world's largest animal health company with over $9 billion in annual revenue, has fallen 25% over the past year (down from $237 in late 2021) on concerns around Librela, its osteoarthritis treatment for dogs. Social media amplified reports of adverse events including neurological issues and joint degeneration, prompting an FDA "Dear Veterinarian" letter in December 2024 and multiple lawsuits (a federal court dismissed the main class action in late 2025). Librela sales disappointed in 2025 and management acknowledged headwinds will persist into 2026, which explains the selloff.

The broader business continues performing. Q3 2025 revenue grew 4% with the companion animal portfolio (vaccines, diagnostics, dermatology) offsetting Librela weakness, and management raised full-year guidance to $9.4-9.475 billion. Zoetis operates across companion animals (dogs, cats, horses) and livestock (cattle, swine, poultry, fish), selling medicines, vaccines, diagnostics, and precision health products. The company's wide moat stems from R&D innovation across pet-specific treatments and dominant positioning in virtually every animal health category including aquaculture.

The dividend yields 1.6% and was just raised 6% for Q1 2026, continuing an unbroken streak of annual increases. The company trades at a historically low P/E of 20, compared to typical multiples in the mid-20s to low-30s during normal periods. Morningstar's $171 fair value implies 32% upside from current levels. Management has accelerated share buybacks while the stock trades below intrinsic value, with $4.9 billion remaining on a $6 billion authorization. Capital allocation has improved over the past few years, with the company prioritizing R&D and strategic acquisitions rather than overpaying for buybacks at inflated prices like it did earlier in the decade.

The setup is a wide-moat healthcare company with diversified global revenue, consistent dividend growth, and a 32% discount to fair value driven by a single-product controversy. Veterinary care spending has historically proven recession-resistant as pet owners prioritize animal health, and Zoetis maintains pricing power across its portfolio. The Librela issue appears contained to regulatory label updates and controlled messaging rather than a product recall, though ongoing litigation and social media sentiment remain risks. At 20x earnings with a growing 1.6% yield, the valuation reflects an assumption that innovation has stalled when the underlying franchise continues generating consistent cash flow and margin expansion across the rest of the portfolio.

INCOME BUILDING

Cash Rates

Government Money Market Funds (7-Day Yields)

  • SNVXX (Schwab Government Money Fund - Investor Shares): 3.46%

  • SPAXX (Fidelity Government Money Market Fund): 3.39%

  • TTTXX (BlackRock Liquidity Funds: Treasury Trust - Institutional Class): 3.58%

  • VMFXX (Federal Money Market Fund): 3.66%

Brokered CD Rates (6-Month Rate)

  • Charles Schwab: 3.63%

  • E*Trade:

  • Fidelity: 3.60%

  • Merrill Edge and Merrill Lynch:

  • Vanguard: 3.60%

ETFs (30-Day Yields)

  • SGOV (iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF): 3.66%

  • BIL (SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF): 3.59%

  • USFR (WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund): 3.61%

  • TFLO (iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF): 3.61%

DEALS AND BONUSES

United Mile Play Promo (Targeted Bonuses up to 15,000 Miles for Flights Through March 9)

United Airlines is offering targeted MileagePlus members bonus miles for booking and completing qualifying flights through March 9, 2026. Bonus awards range from 3,000 to 15,000 miles depending on the number of trips and minimum fare requirements in your personalized offer.

Offer Details

  • Main promotion: Register, then book and complete qualifying United flights to earn bonus miles (amounts vary by account)

  • Offer window: Must book after registration and complete flights by March 9, 2026

  • Registration required: Check your targeted offer and register at united.com/mileplay before booking

  • Qualifying fare calculation: Base fare plus carrier surcharges (excludes government taxes and fees)

  • Key restrictions:

    • Offers are targeted and vary by MileagePlus account

    • Must complete all required flights by deadline (no partial credit)

    • Bonus can only be earned once per registration

    • Each trip must have a unique United confirmation number

    • Transactions must be initiated after registration

Our Thoughts

Check your specific offer at the registration page since bonus amounts are account-specific. Register before booking to ensure qualification, and remember that basic economy fares can meet minimums if the base fare plus carrier charges reach the threshold despite lower total costs.

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