Real GDP increased at a 4.4% annual rate in the third quarter according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis's updated estimate, revised higher from the previous 4.3% estimate and ahead of the second quarter's 3.8% pace. The upward revision was driven by stronger exports and investment. Core PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.2% month-over-month in November, matching October's reading. Year-over-year core PCE increased 2.8%, remaining well above the Fed's 2% long-term target. New unemployment claims for the week ended January 17 totaled 200,000, a slight increase from the prior week's revised 199,000 but below the 207,000 estimate. The four-week moving average fell to 201,500, the lowest level in two years. Continuing claims declined to 1.849 million in the week ended January 10 from the prior week's downwardly revised 1.875 million. University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment rose to 56.4 in January from 52.9 in December, though the reading remained over 20% lower year-over-year as consumers reported pressures from high prices and weakening labor market prospects. S&P Global's Flash U.S. Composite PMI showed business activity growth inched higher in January, with manufacturing acceleration outpacing services sector growth. Business confidence remained positive but dipped slightly amid worries over the political environment and higher prices.

Major indexes finished a volatile, holiday-shortened week lower after sharp Tuesday declines following President Trump's announcement of new tariffs on European nations opposed to U.S. control of Greenland. The S&P 500 posted its largest daily decline since October before reversing course Wednesday after Trump softened his stance, announcing he had formed a framework for a Greenland deal with NATO and would no longer impose tariffs scheduled for February 1st. Markets were closed Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. The S&P MidCap 400 performed worst for the week, falling 0.55%, followed by the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.53% and S&P 500 down 0.35%. The Russell 2000 shed 0.32%, while the Nasdaq Composite closed modestly lower. Year-to-date performance through Friday showed small-caps leading with the Russell 2000 up 7.54% and S&P MidCap 400 up 5.49%, outpacing the Dow's 2.15% gain, Nasdaq's 1.12% advance, and S&P 500's 1.02% increase.

U.S. Treasuries posted modest losses heading into Friday despite rallying alongside equities Wednesday, with short-term yields edging higher and longer-term yields declining slightly. Municipal bonds lost ground amid broader rate volatility, though T. Rowe Price traders noted new issuance in the muni market was relatively well absorbed. Corporate bonds posted gains and outperformed Treasuries amid improving macroeconomic sentiment and resilient investor demand.

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